Sunday, 21 September 2014

Dumbfounded

I mentioned on my last blog entry Battered that "if voters suffer from an acute case of Battered Person Syndrome, the outcome will be in favour of a meaningless Union." And you know what... they do!

When I woke up on Friday to the news that the No vote had won, I was dumbfounded and thought that some fall back would occur sooner or later, against the scare that this nation gave to the Westminster establishment. It did not take long...
When I heard the BBC Radio 2 8 am. news while driving, the promises that David Cameron had given to the No voters via Gordon Brown, Alistair Darling and more, had now an add-on. The changes to the Scottish agreement would have to go taking into account the interests of English people. A caveat was introduced on the promises made on the tearful previous week, less then two hours after the "battered and estranged wife" returned home at 6 am.

No one had heard from the tears of David Cameron, that a new deal had been made to benefit Scotland "but"... There was no but at all. That no strings attached promise was worth at least 300,000 No votes. Had it not been aired last minute and today Scotland would be on an unknown but certain road to independence, at their own peril for sure but also at their own freedom and responsibility

Today, after a few Labour politicians woke up and were reminded "Wait a minute where is this "but" coming from?" David Cameron reneged his Friday morning speech, after reneging his last week's tears, and is now saying that the new Scottish deal has "No ifs and no buts. Everything is fine now, sorry it's my memory and tears and emotion." The details of this deal have to be fine tuned, but in the end they come up of no more than increasing the credit card limit of the Holyrood Bank and give the "battered wife" a new Dyson and rubber gloves. That's pretty much it. In the meantime, Westminster Alpha male will carry on banking in the natural resources of Scotland, so the "UK" can go to the champagne and caviar parties with their Armani suits on their Bentleys,while the "battered wife" stays at home vacuuming, driving an 80,000 miles Y reg Rover 25 and buying her clothes in Primark.

Nevertheless, the discussion of a new English settlement has been raised... it has always been there, on the quiet, and it was probably the reason why this "democratic referendum" was offered in the first place. It is not going away and it will be enforced. After this scare, it is only a matter of time, for the sake of equality and representation, that the Scottish number of MPs will be tuned to same number of electors as the rest of the UK. This means that instead of 59 MPs at present, Scotland will have only 30 seats in Westminster. Scotland will have has much weight on decisions that involve the future of the United Kingdom as... Essex. The entire country can now be fracked at will, have Faslane 2, 3 and 4, no reinvestment or cut on the regional minerals, entire Scottish regiments can be sent to fight UK wars for which Scottish people are totally alien to, and when the European referendum gets a "Yes" to appease Torys / UKIP, Scotland will be out of their traditional Continental references, isolated and even less powerful to try a new bout at independence.

It does not need to be like that! I do not know where the words of David Cameron came from about this "being the choice of a generation, put his to bed for a hundred years..." There is no impediment whatsoever to have a new referendum in two years time, specially if the United Kingdom decides to leave the European Union. The European Union referendum will be technically another Scottish independence referendum, because if the large majority of Scottish voters vote to stay with the EU, there will be a strong case for independence. There is another "technicality" that comes from the 1707 treaty. If in the next year's general election the 59 elected Scottish MPs decide not to sit in Parliament (the reason why the Union started) than the treaty will have to come to an end and Scotland will be free again from their only dependence (and the pound). To bed for one hundred years... I don't think so. But I am still dumbfounded.

Saturday, 13 September 2014

Battered

No, I am not talking about the favourite Scottish deep fried diet. Scotland is high on the agenda as panic is now present in a unashamed way within English apparitchik and their faithful satellites.

This campaign started a long time ago when George Osborne contracted a few "professionals" to have an opinion (independent but paid of course) against the independence of Scotland and the definition of "New State". If you read the BBC News link here you will notice that this started on Monday 11 February 2013 early in the morning as it does, with the intention of having a"debate" for the week.
Unfortunately Pope Benedict XVI announced his resignation a few hours later and this paid Scottish consultancy might as well have been thrown down the pan.

Anyway... Independence... Scottish Nation and State... arguments of currency and other minor adjustments... missing the point.

The United Kingdom is the Union of England+Wales (with at the time conquered and submitted Ireland used for "equal opportunities" purposes) and the newly acquired Scotland. Let us say a marriage of England+Wales (and Ireland at the time) and Scotland. This was not a fully committed marriage. What was agreed was the use of Westminster, the King / Queen and the pound. At no stage has Scotland resigned of its representation as a nation. There is no impediment whatsoever for Scotland this Monday to arrive at the United Nations with their representatives and just say "Where is my desk?" The same applies to the Scottish MEPs in Strasbourg / Brussels.

The arrangement was to be represented in Westminster in exchange for the pound and the Crown. That's all. The land administration, judiciary and more remained under the jurisdiction of the Scottish nation. Through time though, and insidiously, England+Wales started changing the agreement and Scotland, from a modern equivalent of a Thai bride, became a battered wife (check history of Scottish populations in the XIX and XX centuries). Then England+Wales found that their spouse had some forgotten dowry in the shape of crude oil and other hydrocarbons. They went through it like there was no end. Were Scotland not a battered wife at the time and stood their ground, they would now be a twin sister of Norway. Just look how far they are from that nation economically, politically and socially.

This week's reaction of Westminster party leaders is the equivalent of the abuser going back to the estranged battered wife and tell her that "It's all over, I am going to make it right to you now, I will never lay a finger on you ever, ever, ever again!" with tears in their eyes and promises of eternal love.

There are not that many days left to reclaim an independence that it is already there, a nation that is older than 90% of European Union states. Only if voters suffer from an acute case of Battered Person Syndrome the outcome will be in favour of a meaningless Union.

A word for Westminster and for David Cameron... if the outcome of the referendum is a "Yes" (and please do not doctor it as you did with the referendum of Newfoundland and Labrador in 1948) you can always find experts (myself?) to invalidate it, with the argument that the Union can only cease to exist when the 59 Scottish MPs vote to leave Westminster and break the agreement of 1707. That might take a long time...

Saturday, 15 March 2014

Flight MH370

The disappearance of flight MH370 last Saturday 8 March is getting more and more confusing, shrouded in clouds of mystery and drip fed information.

It is now apparent that the demise of this flight was not caused by a catastrophic hardware event, or even an Act of God, a flock of birds, leaves on the line... There was for sure human intervention on this unscheduled route alteration. Was it hijacked? The answer is yes, but why?

If this was a planned terrorist action, no one so far has claimed any credible responsibility. And hijacking airplanes for terrorist purposes is nowadays a bit out of fashion, extremely difficult, includes negotiations, a landing place, an organization, possible exchange of prisoners, political claims and gain. Nothing of the sort has happened so far.

So... the purpose of this human intervention has to be something else. And something else has to be related with value. This operation had to be incredibly well planned, people with in-depth knowledge of aircrafts, navigation, airport security, cabin security. You cannot board a plane now with guns or other aggressive implements, so the hijacking had to be made with other means of persuasion unknown to us at present.

Going back to value then... What was inside that airplane that was so valuable to warrant such a refined organization? Not the 239 people (more like 235 actually!) They have no value... at all, not even to bargain with, they're just "collateral". But one? One of them? Just the one?

It reminds me of the Tintin story Flight 714. Who is the Laszlo Carreidas that boarded the plane that night? Was there a Chinese / Malayan billionaire with his laptop active so funds from his bank account could be transferred under duress? Or anything more valuable? Is anyone looking for the evil "Rastapopoulos" as we speak?

Maybe this airplane was having some special military equipment on its luggage privy to the Malaysian and Chinese authorities, anything from microchips to spying codes or databases. That would explain why the authorities on both countries are so sparse on revelations and why the military radars were following this aircraft. Someone fell asleep on his/her watch that night though, as by the time flight MH370 disappeared from their radars, it was too late to scramble the Malaysian Air Force to go and have a closer look. The flight carried on for hours after its disappearance, probably on auto pilot at low altitude to avoid detection, and with only 235 people on board as the 4 hijackers parachuted themselves at a specific prearranged location.

A Hollywood blockbuster looms already...

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